Iraq

With no matches yet played in Group I and no injury or lineup news available, the prediction relies on the general quality gap between Norway and Iraq. Norway, spearheaded by elite striker Erling Haaland, holds a clear edge in individual talent and physicality. Iraq, despite qualifying, lacks the proven firepower to consistently threaten a well-organized European defense. The evidence from the group table shows both sides on zero points, but the qualitative disparity justifies a reasonably high win probability for Norway. However, given the hard calibration rules, a win probability of 0.65 is assigned instead of a higher number, as Iraq is not a debutant minnow and Norway is not a top‑eight nation. A 0‑2 scoreline reflects a controlled victory, with Haaland likely to capitalize on any defensive lapses. The draw probability of 0.25 accounts for opening‑match unpredictability, and Iraq’s win chance remains a remote 0.10 due to their limited offensive output against a superior opponent.

With no matches yet played in Group I and no squad news or injuries reported, this prediction relies on the vast gulf in team quality. France, a perennial elite contender and recent World Cup finalist, faces Iraq, a side with minimal top-level experience making a rare tournament appearance. In such mismatches, a comfortable multi‑goal win is the most probable outcome. France’s attacking depth and Iraq’s likely defensive struggles support a 4‑0 scoreline, though the lack of concrete lineup or form data tempers certainty. The win probability is capped at 0.82 per the elite‑vs‑minnow rule, acknowledging the slim but real chance of a draw.

With no specific match data from the tournament yet, the prediction rests on the general quality gap between Senegal and Iraq. Senegal's squad, featuring stars like Mané, Koulibaly, and others from Europe's top leagues, gives them a significant edge in all departments. Iraq, although improving, historically struggle against physically and technically superior opponents. The 2-0 scoreline reflects a controlled performance where Senegal's attack breaks down a resilient but limited Iraqi defense. The original win probability of 0.70 is appropriate for this mismatch, but not exceeding the cap as it is not an elite-versus-minnow scenario. Confidence is medium due to the absence of recent form or injury news.